Ideas

Building Post-INF Missiles Would Be a Waste, or Worse

New U.S. intermediate-range ground-launched missiles would deliver more undesirable effects than tactical utility.

Ideas

The US, Iran, and the Consequences of Breaking International Law

Some in the U.S. act as if only naked might matters in foreign policy. Yet American policy in Iran and Iraq illustrates something different.

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Why US Officials Are Revealing More about Cyber Ops

It’s part of a “costly signaling” gambit. Will it deter America’s enemies?

Ideas

Trump’s Threat to Bomb Iran's Cultural Sites Isn’t Just About Art

Throughout history, the destruction of culturally important sites has gone hand-in-hand with violence against civilians.

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After Years of NATO-Bashing, Trump Asks Allies for Help with Iran

But Britain, Germany, and France believe that everyone's interests are best served by the nuclear deal Trump hates.

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Don’t Let Iran Tensions Stop the Battle Against ISIS

My recent journey through northern Iraq revealed how fragile the region remains, and how extremism could once again take root.

Ideas

How Quickly Could Iran Get a Nuclear Bomb?

A former National Nuclear Security Administration coordinator explains breakout time — and why it’s getting shorter.

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What Motivates Chinese Peacekeeping?

China’s unusual status as a top contributor of both funds and troops to the UN's peacekeeping program has stirred suspicion.

Ideas

Trump’s Fixation on the Hostage Crisis Is Driving His Iran Policy

The president’s approach to the Islamic Republic appears stuck in 1979.

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US-Iranian Diplomacy Almost Worked. Let’s Try It Again

Direct talks may be too much to ask for at this stage, but tension-reduction measures promoted by third parties are still very plausible.

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5G Is Where China and the West Finally Diverge

The rollout of speedy new cellular networks is a geopolitical turning point, but neither Trump nor the public yet recognizes this.

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The Blueprint Iran Could Follow After Soleimani’s Death

Here’s what to expect after the U.S. killing of Iran’s most powerful military commander.

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The Soleimani Strike Defied the US Constitution

If Congress fails to respond effectively, the president will be left with the unmitigated power to take the country to war on his own—anywhere, anytime, for any reason.

Ideas

The Soleimani Assassination Is America’s Most Consequential Strike This Century

The U.S. attack against the top Iranian general will have far greater repercussions than the killings of al-Qaeda and ISIS leaders.

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Who’s Next? Trump Crossed a Line with Soleimani’s Assassination

The Iranian was much more than a general. Who else is the U.S. president willing to kill?

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The US Recently Made a Smart Move Toward Iran. Killing Soleimani Wasn’t It

The decision to focus on Tehran’s proxies in the wake of the embassy attack was the right course.

Ideas

Iran Loses Its Indispensable Man

The killing of Qassem Soleimani robs the regime of the central figure for its ambitions in the Middle East.

Ideas

What US Intelligence Thought 2020 Would Look Like

A 2004 National Intelligence Council report was eerily prescient in some ways, and totally off in others.

Ideas

A Bigger Foreign-Policy Mess Than Anyone Predicted

In the 2010s, global affairs turned out far worse than the most pessimistic scenario foretold by U.S. intelligence experts.