Ideas
The Middle East’s Indifference to Ukraine Is a Warning
What looks like international solidarity against a lawless invasion is something far more transactional and fragile.
Ideas
How to Gauge the Risk of a Nuclear Escalation with Russia
Escalation theories can help NATO policymakers avoid nuclear war—but it is ultimately up to Putin.
Ideas
Ukraine Endgame: Putin’s Bad Options
No matter which one he chooses, the Western response should be the same.
Ideas
The Pentagon Must ‘Campaign’ Against China, Not Hope for a Goal-Line Stand
To dissuade aggression, the U.S. military must continuously persuade its adversaries to doubt their chances of success.
Ideas
What Is China Learning from the Ukraine War?
From battlefield concepts to geopolitics, Beijing is sure to be watching with avid interest—and some chagrin.
Ideas
The DOD Needs a Joint Wargaming Center
The recent explosion of wargames obscures several flaws in the current system.
Ideas
Establish a Zone of Peace in Western Ukraine
Sending foreign troops to defend so-far-uncontested territory is the only way to preserve a free Ukraine and prevent Putin’s next attack.
Ideas
Ukraine, Fight Your Fight—Not Their Fight
The Ukrainian military needs the weapons and tactics of an irregular conflict, not a conventional war.
Ideas
Russia Is Teaching a Master Class in ‘Decision-Centric' Warfare
Pentagon leaders should take notes.
Policy
Should Killing a Satellite Provoke War on Earth?
A Space Force official says the service is considering how to respond to attacks in orbit.
Ideas
Don’t Assume the US Will Fight China and Russia One at a Time
Beijing and Moscow are boosting their strategic coordination along with their militaries.
Threats
Taiwan Emerges as a ‘Pre-eminent Issue’ For CIA’s New China Directorate
A takeover might look like Russia’s takeover of Crimea and might be coordinated with the Kremlin.
Ideas
It’s Not About Submarines. It’s about Software
Important as AUKUS submarines are in the military balance, the new way of deterrence will be about the strength, speed, and resilience of software.
Ideas
How China Is Planning For a Tech Decoupling
PLA strategists are already working on counters to anticipated U.S. moves.
Ideas
AUKUS Is the Death Knell of Australia's Strategic Ambiguity
At what cost is Australia attempting to strengthen its deterrence of China?
Ideas
How Chinese Strategists Think AI Will Power a Military Leap Ahead
The U.S. military should ready itself for a warfighting environment in which the PLA’s realizes its vision of "intelligenization."
Ideas
The Defense Budget Process Is Broken
What the U.S. needs isn’t more money for the Pentagon, but an honest and tough debate about strategy.
Ideas
Calculating the Costs of the Afghanistan War
The war in Afghanistan, like many other wars before it, began with optimistic assessments of a quick victory and the promise to rebuild at war’s end.
Ideas
The Curious Omission in Russia’s New Security Strategy
It doesn’t mention “cyber”—and that tells us a few things.
Ideas